EG on Politics

  Evan 1 ’ s Midterm election viewing guide - cover page I’ll try to keep my personal politics and predictions out of this, and provide this as a service for folks who want to understand as quickly as possible on Election Night what is happening.  The Senate is in play, the house will likely switch to Republican, several Gubernatorial seats could switch parties, etc.  Below is a list by poll closing hour of the states and races to watch.  I decided to not focus on control of the House, as I believe many of the close races will not be known until much later in the night (although early indications of stronger than expected D or R success at the statewide level will provide a good barometer, and VA02, VA07, VA10, IN01 and NH02 will likely have results by 10p and be an early indicator 2 , details further down). As with previous guides, please share as broadly and widely as you’d like.  The link is https://evan.bz/22en I’ll be on twitter and facebook (handle evangr...

NOTE - Updated 10/29/20 5p Eastern, will be updated several times prior to Election Day Quick Links: AK   AZ   FL   IA   GA   KY   NC   NE   NV   NH   ME   MI   MN   OH   PA   SC   TX   VA   WI All states are covered below, but above are links to states I'm more closely watching... Background A number of factors will make rapidly determining the winner of the presidential election complex.  Traditional exit polling will likely be inaccurate / not used (note 1).  Additionally, given the vast number of mailed-in ballots, there could be some delays in how quickly results are available in some areas (note 2) For those who want to know ahead of time what to look for, below is my chronological guide as to what we may know and when we may know it regarding the presidential race and the senate majority.  While I’m an unabashedly pro-Biden, pro-Democratic Senate progressive, I’ve tried to m...